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Q4 was particularly volatile in fixed income markets, with U.S. government bond yields surging on worries over the rising fiscal deficit and the potential for inflation to reaccelerate.
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In this post, I will begin by looking at movements in treasury rates, across maturities, during 2024, and the resultant shifts in yield curves.
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From investment grade to high yield, municipals, and private credit, solid credit metrics and favorable demand dynamics are helping offset tighter spreads and volatility. Click to read.
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Investment-grade and high-yield spreads approach multi-decade lows, yet periods of narrow spreads have historically persisted during stable economic conditions.
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Corporate bond issuance is rising, with issuance increasing around 30% in 2024 compared to 2023. Read more here.
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A recession in the U.S. is unlikely as household and corporate balance sheets are still very strong, with many buffers to handle any kind of surprise that could come along through the year.
Name | Correlation | AUM | Expense Ratio | |
---|---|---|---|---|
UUP | -61.22% | $400.89M | 0.77% | |
USDU | -60.87% | $302.30M | 0.5% | |
CTA | -47.14% | $589.81M | 0.76% | |
BTAL | -27.06% | $256.21M | 1.43% | |
DBMF | -21.79% | $1.36B | 0.85% | |
KMLM | -21.31% | $327.44M | 0.9% | |
BNO | -18.47% | $100.63M | 1% | |
USO | -18.45% | $1.05B | 0.6% | |
DBE | -18.28% | $54.24M | 0.77% | |
UGA | -18.09% | $102.01M | 0.97% | |
OILK | -17.59% | $80.52M | 0.69% | |
USL | -17.18% | $47.80M | 0.85% | |
DBO | -16.88% | $193.44M | 0.77% | |
EQLS | -14.76% | $7.69M | 1% | |
VIXY | -12.95% | $195.31M | 0.85% | |
CLOZ | -11.91% | $804.57M | 0.5% | |
COMT | -11.10% | $703.35M | 0.48% | |
JBBB | -10.77% | $1.77B | 0.49% | |
FLTR | -10.22% | $2.02B | 0.14% | |
AGZD | -9.44% | $140.42M | 0.23% |
Name | Correlation | Market Cap | Return % (1 Year) | Div Yield % |
---|---|---|---|---|
SBAC | 59.81% | $21.41B | -13.76% | 1.97% |
RKT | 59.50% | $1.87B | +1.26% | 0.00% |
PSA | 56.60% | $52.21B | +4.05% | 4.04% |
NSA | 55.74% | $2.86B | -1.53% | 6.03% |
AGNC | 55.63% | $8.93B | +4.24% | 14.45% |
CUBE | 54.72% | $9.49B | -4.51% | 4.89% |
AMT | 54.71% | $86.83B | -6.34% | 3.49% |
CCI | 53.80% | $38.69B | -19.84% | 7.04% |
PFSI | 53.61% | $5.89B | +28.98% | 0.91% |
NLY | 53.61% | $11.47B | +4.60% | 12.69% |
EXR | 53.29% | $32.80B | +5.92% | 4.19% |
NNN | 51.56% | $7.44B | -3.97% | 5.86% |
FAF | 51.21% | $6.57B | +4.67% | 3.37% |
FTS | 50.63% | $21.28B | +5.76% | 4.08% |
ARR | 50.40% | $1.05B | -4.04% | 15.22% |
UWMC | 49.89% | $1.00B | -10.06% | 6.35% |
HD | 49.84% | $411.75B | +15.12% | 2.17% |
SAFE | 49.68% | $1.16B | -22.51% | 4.36% |
EFX | 49.28% | $34.50B | +11.19% | 0.56% |
PHM | 49.27% | $24.30B | +11.04% | 0.70% |
Name | Correlation | Market Cap | Return % (1 Year) | Div Yield % |
---|---|---|---|---|
LPLA | -23.16% | $27.09B | +50.46% | 0.32% |
IBKR | -22.03% | $23.86B | +141.19% | 0.39% |
HQY | -19.97% | $9.58B | +46.22% | 0.00% |
FCNCA | -14.61% | $31.03B | +49.30% | 0.31% |
INSW | -12.30% | $1.92B | -16.96% | 1.25% |
TEN | -11.96% | $535.82M | -23.44% | 8.22% |
COP | -11.75% | $131.24B | -8.74% | 2.91% |
MTDR | -11.53% | $7.43B | +10.12% | 1.45% |
PRPO | -11.21% | $9.59M | +6.48% | 0.00% |
AMPY | -10.93% | $216.09M | -10.58% | 0.00% |
TNK | -10.93% | $1.45B | -28.18% | 2.40% |
VLO | -10.79% | $42.87B | -2.08% | 4.02% |
TRMD | -10.71% | $1.93B | -43.11% | 29.66% |
VNOM | -10.55% | $4.76B | +50.63% | 3.80% |
STNG | -10.51% | $2.55B | -29.56% | 3.38% |
FANG | -10.46% | $49.76B | +13.52% | 3.01% |
BTCT | -10.43% | $31.76M | +62.05% | 0.00% |
CAMT | -10.22% | $4.13B | +14.20% | 0.00% |
CVX | -9.91% | $280.92B | +5.70% | 4.29% |
MNR | -9.61% | $1.84B | +3.13% | 18.04% |
Name | Correlation | Market Cap | Return % (1 Year) | Div Yield % |
---|---|---|---|---|
WFRD | 0.00% | $4.69B | -26.56% | 0.78% |
SIGI | -0.01% | $4.99B | -15.14% | 1.71% |
HIHO | -0.01% | $8.23M | -8.38% | 6.42% |
ETN | 0.02% | $129.27B | +23.63% | 1.19% |
ITCI | -0.03% | $13.49B | +86.24% | 0.00% |
MNOV | 0.03% | $100.54M | +42.36% | 0.00% |
LPG | 0.04% | $1.09B | -25.50% | 0.00% |
CRNC | -0.04% | $582.06M | -32.94% | 0.00% |
SPT | -0.06% | $1.90B | -46.61% | 0.00% |
VIST | 0.09% | $5.28B | +68.81% | 0.00% |
PUMP | -0.10% | $946.96M | +10.98% | 0.00% |
AMP | 0.11% | $53.15B | +41.92% | 1.07% |
DELL | -0.12% | $73.92B | +22.81% | 1.67% |
WRAP | 0.13% | $95.44M | -46.39% | 0.00% |
INSM | 0.14% | $13.65B | +167.40% | 0.00% |
TSM | -0.15% | $1.08T | +83.57% | 1.11% |
SMLR | -0.15% | $483.30M | +15.79% | 0.00% |
LVO | 0.17% | $114.80M | -16.08% | 0.00% |
DTM | -0.17% | $10.34B | +90.09% | 2.89% |
CART | 0.18% | $12.56B | +93.66% | 0.00% |
Name | Correlation | AUM | Expense Ratio | |
---|---|---|---|---|
VCIT | 98.43% | $48.58B | 0.04% | |
IGIB | 98.27% | $14.84B | 0.04% | |
SCHI | 97.92% | $7.93B | 0.03% | |
IBDV | 97.40% | $1.62B | 0.1% | |
BSCU | 97.30% | $1.31B | 0.1% | |
BIV | 97.14% | $21.32B | 0.04% | |
IBDU | 96.96% | $2.28B | 0.1% | |
IBDX | 96.82% | $959.53M | 0.1% | |
BSCT | 96.79% | $1.75B | 0.1% | |
VCSH | 96.77% | $34.83B | 0.04% | |
AVIG | 96.71% | $958.75M | 0.15% | |
USIG | 96.64% | $12.25B | 0.04% | |
IGEB | 96.64% | $1.04B | 0.18% | |
IGSB | 96.62% | $21.18B | 0.04% | |
GVI | 96.40% | $3.27B | 0.2% | |
VTC | 96.37% | $1.11B | 0.04% | |
BSCW | 96.03% | $754.50M | 0.1% | |
AGG | 95.95% | $120.93B | 0.03% | |
IBDW | 95.84% | $1.34B | 0.1% | |
BSCV | 95.83% | $852.34M | 0.1% |
Name | Correlation | AUM | Expense Ratio | |
---|---|---|---|---|
PXJ | 0.16% | $39.82M | 0.66% | |
IEZ | 0.40% | $168.82M | 0.4% | |
DBA | -0.79% | $869.40M | 0.93% | |
VRIG | -0.88% | $1.23B | 0.3% | |
HYZD | -0.90% | $174.95M | 0.43% | |
IXC | 1.03% | $1.93B | 0.41% | |
OIH | 1.38% | $1.53B | 0.35% | |
CLOI | -1.76% | $828.80M | 0.4% | |
CSHI | -1.99% | $526.09M | 0.38% | |
IGBH | 2.25% | $112.80M | 0.14% | |
SEIX | 2.25% | $313.30M | 0.57% | |
UNG | 2.34% | $616.40M | 1.06% | |
PSCE | 2.39% | $91.02M | 0.29% | |
TFLO | 2.75% | $6.45B | 0.15% | |
FCG | -2.95% | $449.29M | 0.6% | |
DUSB | 2.97% | $987.91M | 0.15% | |
IYE | -3.18% | $1.30B | 0.39% | |
ICLO | 3.21% | $301.33M | 0.2% | |
CLSE | 3.25% | $254.23M | 1.55% | |
KCCA | -3.50% | $102.85M | 0.87% |
SPIB - SPDR Portfolio Intermediate Term Corporate Bond ETF contains 3584 holdings. The top holdings include
Name | Weight |
---|---|
- | 0.19% |
- | 0.17% |
- | 0.16% |
- | 0.16% |
- | 0.14% |
- | 0.12% |
- | 0.12% |
- | 0.11% |
- | 0.11% |
- | 0.11% |
- | 0.09% |
- | 0.09% |
- | 0.09% |
- | 0.09% |
- | 0.09% |
- | 0.09% |
- | 0.09% |
- | 0.08% |
- | 0.08% |
- | 0.08% |
- | 0.08% |
- | 0.08% |
- | 0.08% |
- | 0.08% |
- | 0.08% |
- | 0.08% |
- | 0.08% |
- | 0.08% |
- | 0.08% |
- | 0.08% |
Sector | Weight |
---|---|