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Global Macro Outlook: Second Quarter 2025
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Seventy days into the new U.S. administration, we are beginning to accrue enough hard data to correct or confirm the pessimism of recent soft data.
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The Bank of Japan estimates its neutral rate at between 1.0% and 2.5%. Click to read.
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Japan: Data Points To Gradual Recovery, Raising Odds Of May Rate Hike
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Discover why Japan's stock market is surging with strong fiscal flows, stable policies, and rising demand.
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Weekly Commentary: Critical Market Juncture
Name | Correlation | AUM | Expense Ratio | |
---|---|---|---|---|
BBJP | 99.88% | $11.65B | 0.19% | |
FLJP | 99.66% | $2.06B | 0.09% | |
JPXN | 99.32% | $87.63M | 0.48% | |
IPAC | 96.74% | $2.01B | 0.09% | |
VPL | 95.26% | $6.98B | 0.07% | |
EWJV | 95.00% | $309.49M | 0.15% | |
IDMO | 88.25% | $493.98M | 0.25% | |
IMTM | 87.22% | $2.44B | 0.3% | |
HEWJ | 85.14% | $360.77M | 0.5% | |
DBJP | 84.76% | $382.52M | 0.45% | |
VIGI | 84.75% | $7.43B | 0.1% | |
FDT | 84.52% | $427.16M | 0.8% | |
SPDW | 84.52% | $23.51B | 0.03% | |
GWX | 84.47% | $617.91M | 0.4% | |
VEA | 84.21% | $144.08B | 0.03% | |
DFAI | 84.17% | $8.89B | 0.18% | |
SCZ | 84.10% | $9.02B | 0.4% | |
IEFA | 83.90% | $127.62B | 0.07% | |
EFAA | 83.89% | $99.75M | 0% | |
IDEV | 83.86% | $18.25B | 0.04% |
Name | Correlation | AUM | Expense Ratio | |
---|---|---|---|---|
SUB | 0.04% | $8.76B | 0.07% | |
CLOA | -0.13% | $787.04M | 0.2% | |
ULST | -0.19% | $587.14M | 0.2% | |
SCHO | -0.21% | $10.67B | 0.03% | |
MINT | -0.28% | $13.27B | 0.35% | |
WEAT | 0.32% | $115.01M | 0.28% | |
CARY | -0.40% | $347.36M | 0.8% | |
BSMW | -0.40% | $100.91M | 0.18% | |
DFNM | -0.42% | $1.51B | 0.17% | |
GBIL | 0.47% | $6.31B | 0.12% | |
JMST | 0.56% | $3.55B | 0.18% | |
MEAR | 0.59% | $938.33M | 0.25% | |
USFR | 0.66% | $18.50B | 0.15% | |
TAXF | 0.77% | $516.85M | 0.29% | |
CGSM | -0.82% | $639.13M | 0.25% | |
VGSH | 0.95% | $22.45B | 0.03% | |
CORN | -0.99% | $51.42M | 0.2% | |
IBMO | 1.27% | $506.25M | 0.18% | |
UTWO | -1.35% | $377.49M | 0.15% | |
BUXX | 1.53% | $231.45M | 0.25% |
Name | Correlation | AUM | Expense Ratio | |
---|---|---|---|---|
VIXY | -52.74% | $195.31M | 0.85% | |
BTAL | -49.04% | $414.68M | 1.43% | |
TAIL | -45.14% | $86.59M | 0.59% | |
USDU | -36.64% | $207.14M | 0.5% | |
UUP | -32.84% | $325.55M | 0.77% | |
XONE | -18.81% | $633.49M | 0.03% | |
CCOR | -17.14% | $64.32M | 1.18% | |
XHLF | -13.58% | $1.06B | 0.03% | |
CTA | -13.35% | $964.37M | 0.76% | |
BIL | -12.58% | $41.05B | 0.1356% | |
XBIL | -11.65% | $708.50M | 0.15% | |
BILZ | -11.31% | $691.33M | 0.14% | |
BILS | -10.56% | $3.65B | 0.1356% | |
TBLL | -10.37% | $2.07B | 0.08% | |
SGOV | -9.29% | $39.39B | 0.09% | |
TFLO | -7.99% | $6.78B | 0.15% | |
IBTF | -7.49% | $2.23B | 0.07% | |
TBIL | -6.46% | $5.35B | 0.15% | |
SHYD | -4.99% | $320.31M | 0.35% | |
KMLM | -4.98% | $221.29M | 0.9% |
Name | Correlation | Market Cap | Return % (1 Year) | Div Yield % |
---|---|---|---|---|
O | -<0.01% | $50.96B | +8.10% | 5.53% |
PRPO | <0.01% | $8.50M | -12.81% | 0.00% |
SRDX | 0.03% | $441.60M | +14.53% | 0.00% |
PTGX | -0.04% | $2.88B | +67.49% | 0.00% |
LFVN | -0.09% | $198.19M | +144.05% | 1.02% |
ELS | -0.18% | $12.72B | +5.38% | 2.92% |
MNOV | 0.27% | $71.12M | -2.68% | 0.00% |
IDA | -0.34% | $6.34B | +27.07% | 2.87% |
NNVC | -0.51% | $18.14M | -8.66% | 0.00% |
HSY | 0.57% | $34.36B | -15.42% | 3.22% |
HUM | 0.63% | $31.95B | -13.01% | 1.34% |
FE | 0.70% | $23.30B | +5.02% | 4.20% |
IMNN | -0.72% | $15.42M | -39.71% | 0.00% |
MNST | 0.73% | $57.46B | +3.76% | 0.00% |
PGR | 0.74% | $166.65B | +35.36% | 1.73% |
BNED | -0.83% | $353.14M | -83.92% | 0.00% |
STG | 0.86% | $27.78M | -48.08% | 0.00% |
DAO | 0.94% | $239.85M | +92.96% | 0.00% |
AMT | 1.02% | $102.58B | +14.18% | 2.95% |
D | -1.03% | $47.94B | +15.48% | 4.74% |
Name | Correlation | Market Cap | Return % (1 Year) | Div Yield % |
---|---|---|---|---|
NMR | 72.29% | $18.03B | -0.65% | 2.52% |
IX | 72.10% | $22.66B | -0.99% | 9.88% |
SMFG | 70.83% | $96.70B | +32.75% | 1.63% |
MUFG | 70.36% | $154.29B | +33.80% | 1.27% |
TM | 68.72% | $228.15B | -27.29% | 1.48% |
MFG | 67.34% | $67.83B | +42.04% | 1.62% |
BN | 62.86% | $80.63B | +32.97% | 0.63% |
BNT | 60.59% | $10.81B | +32.91% | 0.00% |
HMC | 59.23% | $41.44B | -26.25% | 2.49% |
PLAB | 58.77% | $1.30B | -27.06% | 0.00% |
AEIS | 57.09% | $3.59B | -3.08% | 0.43% |
SONY | 56.09% | $151.65B | +47.49% | 1.35% |
LRCX | 56.06% | $93.49B | -24.71% | 6.62% |
KLAC | 55.94% | $90.69B | -1.65% | 0.94% |
MKSI | 55.67% | $5.41B | -38.28% | 1.12% |
QCOM | 55.64% | $169.27B | -10.52% | 2.25% |
KLIC | 55.61% | $1.79B | -31.95% | 2.46% |
ASX | 54.35% | $19.52B | -17.30% | 3.55% |
HSBC | 54.13% | $203.23B | +49.07% | 5.77% |
AMAT | 54.13% | $118.34B | -29.33% | 1.11% |
Name | Correlation | Market Cap | Return % (1 Year) | Div Yield % |
---|---|---|---|---|
CBOE | -24.85% | $23.56B | +23.21% | 1.08% |
CME | -13.58% | $94.51B | +22.09% | 3.99% |
K | -12.80% | $28.48B | +43.06% | 2.75% |
ED | -11.50% | $38.86B | +21.48% | 3.03% |
CHD | -10.75% | $26.94B | +4.62% | 1.04% |
CLX | -10.04% | $18.22B | -0.54% | 3.28% |
MRK | -9.78% | $220.07B | -33.16% | 3.63% |
TCTM | -9.75% | $3.80M | -81.33% | 0.00% |
PG | -9.30% | $399.94B | +6.22% | 2.36% |
JNJ | -8.67% | $369.31B | -2.84% | 3.22% |
LTM | -8.67% | $9.40B | -100.00% | <0.01% |
COR | -8.18% | $53.79B | +14.12% | 0.76% |
DUK | -7.78% | $94.07B | +25.41% | 3.43% |
AEP | -7.40% | $57.87B | +27.18% | 3.33% |
KVUE | -7.20% | $45.64B | +14.70% | 3.41% |
MO | -6.62% | $99.39B | +36.94% | 6.89% |
MCK | -5.86% | $84.43B | +26.33% | 0.41% |
SO | -5.82% | $100.71B | +28.71% | 3.14% |
CPB | -5.76% | $11.90B | -10.18% | 3.75% |
KMB | -5.71% | $47.44B | +12.01% | 3.44% |
EWJ - iShares MSCI Japan ETF contains 211 holdings. The top holdings include TOYOF, SNEJF, MBFJF, HTHIF
Name | Weight |
---|---|
T TOYOFNT TOYOTA MOTOR CORP | 4.44% |
S SNEJFNT SONY GROUP CORP | 4.15% |
M MBFJFNT MITSUBISHI UFJ FINANCIAL GROUP INC | 4.13% |
H HTHIFNT HITACHI LTD | 2.87% |
- | 2.54% |
K KYCCFNT KEYENCE CORP | 2.04% |
N NTDOFNT NINTENDO LTD | 2% |
R RCRRFNT RECRUIT HOLDINGS LTD | 1.92% |
T TKOMFNT TOKIO MARINE HOLDINGS INC | 1.83% |
- | 1.75% |
T TOELFNT TOKYO ELECTRON LTD | 1.61% |
M MSBHFNT MITSUBISHI CORP | 1.61% |
F FRCOFNT FAST RETAILING LTD | 1.51% |
I ITOCFNT ITOCHU CORP | 1.47% |
M MHVYFNT MITSUBISHI HEAVY INDUSTRIES LTD | 1.45% |
S SHECFNT SHIN ETSU CHEMICAL LTD | 1.36% |
- | 1.3% |
S SFTBFNT SOFTBANK GROUP CORP | 1.28% |
- | 1.28% |
M MITSFNT MITSUI LTD | 1.27% |
T TKPHFNT TAKEDA PHARMACEUTICAL LTD | 1.26% |
- | 1.1% |
H HNDAFNT HONDA MOTOR LTD | 1.08% |
S SFBQFNT SOFTBANK CORP | 1.07% |
- | 1.05% |
F FJTSFNT FUJITSU LTD | 0.93% |
M MIELFNT MITSUBISHI ELECTRIC CORP | 0.93% |
A ADTTFNT ADVANTEST CORP | 0.89% |
J JAPAFNT JAPAN TOBACCO INC | 0.89% |
S SVNDFNT SEVEN & I HOLDINGS LTD | 0.86% |
Sector | Weight |
---|---|