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Managing Stock Market Return Expectations By Monitoring Return Distributions
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S&P 500 Snapshot: Down 4.9% Year To Date
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The marketâs expected return moves inversely to prices, and so, the ongoing slide in the S&P 500 Index equates with higher performance over some unknown forward time window. Read more here.
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S&P 500 fell 1.5% during the final trading week of March 2025, dropping to 5580.94 on Friday. The data so far is more consistent with the market regime change hypothesis being true than not.
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We may currently be entering a negative economic cycle, possibly caused by an exaggerated political cycle.
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S&P 500 Earnings: S&P 500 Down Just 5% YTD, High-Yield Credit Has Widened Some, Good Breadth A Positive
Name | Correlation | Market Cap | Return % (1 Year) | Div Yield % |
---|---|---|---|---|
UBSI | 79.30% | $4.97B | -1.37% | 4.27% |
PNC | 78.81% | $69.56B | +9.90% | 3.64% |
FITB | 78.15% | $26.19B | +6.81% | 3.76% |
SFNC | 76.79% | $2.58B | +6.43% | 4.13% |
HOMB | 76.77% | $5.61B | +17.30% | 2.73% |
FFBC | 75.83% | $2.38B | +14.06% | 3.82% |
RF | 75.64% | $19.68B | +5.69% | 4.58% |
UCB | 75.56% | $3.36B | +11.23% | 3.40% |
WABC | 75.18% | $1.35B | +5.77% | 3.49% |
ABCB | 75.16% | $3.98B | +21.40% | 1.23% |
FHB | 74.86% | $3.09B | +13.62% | 4.28% |
SSB | 74.69% | $9.41B | +11.55% | 2.31% |
OLP | 74.65% | $567.09M | +16.34% | 6.85% |
GBCI | 74.54% | $5.01B | +13.82% | 3.00% |
FIBK | 74.49% | $2.99B | +9.02% | 6.58% |
CATY | 74.17% | $3.02B | +16.58% | 3.20% |
TCBK | 74.12% | $1.32B | +12.34% | 3.33% |
TOWN | 73.99% | $2.57B | +24.15% | 2.94% |
USB | 73.96% | $65.78B | -3.94% | 4.77% |
COLB | 73.93% | $5.23B | +32.17% | 5.81% |
Name | Correlation | AUM | Expense Ratio | |
---|---|---|---|---|
MEAR | -0.01% | $932.58M | 0.25% | |
TBLL | 0.06% | $2.07B | 0.08% | |
KRBN | -0.25% | $173.49M | 0.85% | |
XHLF | 0.26% | $1.06B | 0.03% | |
GSG | 0.28% | $1.04B | 0.75% | |
CPER | -0.55% | $205.26M | 0.97% | |
KCCA | 0.57% | $109.47M | 0.87% | |
XBIL | 0.71% | $708.45M | 0.15% | |
CLOA | 0.92% | $786.72M | 0.2% | |
BILS | -0.94% | $3.66B | 0.1356% | |
PWZ | -0.95% | $698.23M | 0.28% | |
BSMW | 1.01% | $100.61M | 0.18% | |
ULST | 1.06% | $587.03M | 0.2% | |
CMDY | 1.18% | $306.57M | 0.28% | |
BIL | -1.22% | $41.08B | 0.1356% | |
XONE | -1.36% | $628.76M | 0.03% | |
TBIL | 1.38% | $5.32B | 0.15% | |
FTGC | -1.43% | $2.50B | 1.02% | |
FBY | -1.44% | $149.27M | 1.06% | |
AGZD | -1.56% | $136.29M | 0.23% |
Name | Correlation | AUM | Expense Ratio | |
---|---|---|---|---|
VIXY | -42.76% | $195.31M | 0.85% | |
TAIL | -31.32% | $86.92M | 0.59% | |
BTAL | -24.97% | $404.97M | 1.43% | |
USDU | -21.32% | $213.46M | 0.5% | |
CTA | -18.32% | $963.19M | 0.76% | |
UUP | -16.05% | $327.80M | 0.77% | |
EQLS | -15.34% | $4.77M | 1% | |
KMLM | -10.52% | $222.40M | 0.9% | |
DBE | -6.68% | $54.58M | 0.77% | |
WEAT | -5.85% | $113.78M | 0.28% | |
USCI | -4.30% | $236.09M | 1.07% | |
UNG | -4.15% | $434.44M | 1.06% | |
BNO | -3.93% | $95.40M | 1% | |
USL | -3.76% | $46.60M | 0.85% | |
DBO | -3.57% | $197.54M | 0.77% | |
UGA | -3.51% | $88.11M | 0.97% | |
AFIF | -3.23% | $135.76M | 1.11% | |
USO | -2.87% | $1.02B | 0.6% | |
OILK | -2.70% | $66.42M | 0.69% | |
COMT | -2.66% | $674.22M | 0.48% |
Name | Correlation | Market Cap | Return % (1 Year) | Div Yield % |
---|---|---|---|---|
NVDA | -9.31% | $2.64T | +19.94% | 0.04% |
STG | -8.73% | $28.45M | -43.90% | 0.00% |
HUSA | -8.58% | $12.08M | -45.38% | 0.00% |
LITB | -8.13% | $36.77M | -56.14% | 0.00% |
TSM | -6.02% | $860.86B | +17.32% | 1.48% |
TCTM | -5.81% | $3.39M | -83.19% | 0.00% |
MNOV | -5.43% | $71.61M | -0.68% | 0.00% |
SYPR | -4.87% | $37.07M | -2.42% | 0.00% |
CYD | -3.69% | $694.18M | +101.30% | 2.33% |
SMCI | -3.67% | $20.32B | -66.99% | 0.00% |
CAMT | -3.30% | $2.67B | -30.14% | 0.00% |
K | -3.07% | $28.48B | +44.57% | 2.75% |
NTNX | -3.04% | $18.62B | +12.02% | 0.00% |
NFLX | -3.04% | $398.90B | +51.80% | 0.00% |
EXAS | -2.88% | $8.04B | -38.52% | 0.00% |
CATO | -2.77% | $68.39M | -38.79% | 10.15% |
CRVO | -2.66% | $79.63M | -59.69% | 0.00% |
HIHO | -2.65% | $8.12M | -11.51% | 6.50% |
CANG | -2.62% | $255.04M | +154.36% | 0.00% |
CYCN | -1.86% | $6.78M | -18.57% | 0.00% |
Name | Correlation | Market Cap | Return % (1 Year) | Div Yield % |
---|---|---|---|---|
INSM | 0.21% | $13.81B | +185.52% | 0.00% |
APP | 0.46% | $90.08B | +283.24% | 0.00% |
DOGZ | 0.48% | $362.44M | +338.67% | 0.00% |
CPSH | 0.52% | $23.10M | -10.67% | 0.00% |
SAVA | -0.53% | $72.46M | -92.61% | 0.00% |
LLY | 0.65% | $782.95B | +8.59% | 0.66% |
OXBR | 0.79% | $14.07M | +68.75% | 0.00% |
DAO | -0.93% | $238.29M | +83.86% | 0.00% |
TLPH | 0.99% | $8.43M | -53.74% | 0.00% |
APRE | 1.17% | $11.20M | -67.87% | 0.00% |
FATBB | -1.17% | $48.04M | -31.13% | 15.56% |
TRVG | 1.21% | $93.53M | +35.76% | 0.00% |
ALAR | 1.24% | $43.34M | -71.08% | 0.00% |
QXO | -1.25% | $5.54B | -84.20% | 0.00% |
FUBO | -1.25% | $997.11M | +84.81% | 0.00% |
SRRK | 1.29% | $3.04B | +91.48% | 0.00% |
META | -1.38% | $1.46T | +17.30% | 0.35% |
XNET | 1.38% | $276.00M | +195.39% | 0.00% |
EW | 1.39% | $42.46B | -23.10% | 0.00% |
PSQH | -1.41% | $98.27M | -53.36% | 0.00% |
Name | Correlation | AUM | Expense Ratio | |
---|---|---|---|---|
DVY | 93.27% | $19.76B | 0.38% | |
RDIV | 91.53% | $779.66M | 0.39% | |
SDOG | 91.36% | $1.21B | 0.36% | |
SPYD | 90.76% | $6.83B | 0.07% | |
DHS | 90.72% | $1.22B | 0.38% | |
REGL | 90.37% | $1.57B | 0.4% | |
SCHD | 89.87% | $69.83B | 0.06% | |
CDC | 89.50% | $771.63M | 0.42% | |
FVD | 89.12% | $9.08B | 0.6% | |
FTA | 89.00% | $1.11B | 0.6% | |
RPV | 88.19% | $1.32B | 0.35% | |
FDL | 88.06% | $5.31B | 0.45% | |
SDY | 87.40% | $19.88B | 0.35% | |
XSHD | 87.39% | $65.99M | 0.3% | |
SMDV | 87.36% | $673.35M | 0.4% | |
DIVB | 86.68% | $695.20M | 0.05% | |
XMLV | 86.42% | $782.10M | 0.25% | |
IUSV | 85.88% | $20.04B | 0.04% | |
VOE | 85.81% | $17.17B | 0.07% | |
DIV | 85.78% | $651.36M | 0.45% |
Current Value
$21.481 Year Return
Current Value
$21.481 Year Return
PEY - Invesco High Yield Equity Dividend Achievers ETF contains 51 holdings. The top holdings include MO, VZ, AES, UVV, LYB
Name | Weight |
---|---|
3.36% | |
2.94% | |
2.9% | |
2.85% | |
2.82% | |
2.81% | |
![]() | 2.76% |
2.65% | |
2.45% | |
![]() | 2.44% |
2.33% | |
2.28% | |
2.25% | |
![]() | 2.22% |
2.13% | |
2.04% | |
2.02% | |
1.99% | |
1.97% | |
1.97% | |
1.97% | |
1.95% | |
1.93% | |
1.91% | |
![]() | 1.91% |
1.9% | |
1.9% | |
1.85% | |
1.85% | |
1.83% |
Sector | Weight |
---|---|
Utilities | 25.33% |
Financials | 21.28% |
Consumer Staples | 15.59% |
Industrials | 9.26% |
Communication Services | 6.91% |
Health Care | 6.27% |
Materials | 4.73% |
Consumer Discretionary | 3.96% |
Energy | 3.47% |
Information Technology | 3.28% |