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The recent implementation of tariffs has the media buzzing about increased recession odds as the consumer faces potentially higher costs.

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Many economists have changed their forecasts to include a recession for this year, and that could still occur.

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The US stock market is close to falling 20% from its previous peak, which is considered the trigger for a bear market. Click to read.

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Trump’s announcement of the largest tariff increases in over a century feels like an economic earthquake. The initial shock has been delivered, but the true consequences are still forming.

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A global trade war could curtail economic activity. But there’s also inflation concerns from higher tariffs. The Fed has to choose between prioritizing inflation taming or supporting growth.

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Will High Tariffs Push The U.S. Into Recession?

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Markets were recently rattled by three executive orders announcing tariff increases on Mexico, Canada, and China, marking an opening salvo of President Donald Trump’s trade war.

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In 2024, returns were strong across stocks and bonds, but push out to two years, and the S&P 500 produced its highest return since the go-go '90s.

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Geopolitical tensions and an uncertain inflation outlook rattled markets in the fourth quarter but U.S. stocks still managed to move higher.

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Historically, higher rates have exerted downward pressure on stock multiples, i.e. valuations. Read more here.

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We consider 3 notable relative equity market underperformers during US growth’s triumphant run and share 4 avenues of analysis we recommend. Click here to read more.

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BNY Mellon Global Infrastructure ETF (at NAV) outperformed the S&P Global Infrastructure Index during the third quarter of 2024. Read more here.