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Stay ahead with high-frequency economic indicators offering timely insights. Coincident indicators remain very positive. Click for the full weekly update.
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The S&P 500 in mid-March fell more than 10% from its all-time high reached Feb. 19, a market drop likely hurting the highest-earning households.
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At Wednesday afternoonâs press conference following the two-day conclave of the FOMC, Fed chair Powell repeatedly invoked two words. Those words were: uncertainty, and transitory.
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The Fed kept rates steady and indicated that they were on hold but data dependent.
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While recession fears have resurfaced in the headlines following the recent market sell-off, the economic data does not yet support the narrative of an imminent downturn.
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In January 2025, the AIER Business Conditions Monthly indicators showed moderate economic momentum.
Name | Correlation | AUM | Expense Ratio | |
---|---|---|---|---|
IWB | 99.74% | $37.23B | 0.15% | |
ITOT | 99.68% | $62.49B | 0.03% | |
VTI | 99.68% | $449.19B | 0.03% | |
BBUS | 99.67% | $4.19B | 0.02% | |
SPTM | 99.64% | $9.49B | 0.03% | |
SCHK | 99.63% | $3.84B | 0.05% | |
SPY | 99.62% | $588.03B | 0.0945% | |
SPLG | 99.62% | $57.81B | 0.02% | |
SCHX | 99.61% | $50.65B | 0.03% | |
DFUS | 99.60% | $13.53B | 0.09% | |
IVV | 99.60% | $560.00B | 0.03% | |
VOO | 99.59% | $619.52B | 0.03% | |
SCHB | 99.59% | $31.22B | 0.03% | |
PBUS | 99.58% | $5.80B | 0.04% | |
ILCB | 99.56% | $961.63M | 0.03% | |
GSUS | 99.56% | $2.47B | 0.07% | |
ESGU | 99.54% | $12.97B | 0.15% | |
IWV | 99.52% | $14.63B | 0.2% | |
VONE | 99.49% | $5.39B | 0.07% | |
LCTU | 99.48% | $1.17B | 0.14% |
Name | Correlation | AUM | Expense Ratio | |
---|---|---|---|---|
VIXY | -77.32% | $195.31M | 0.85% | |
TAIL | -74.52% | $83.83M | 0.59% | |
BTAL | -64.68% | $392.24M | 1.43% | |
CCOR | -22.68% | $63.91M | 1.18% | |
USDU | -20.05% | $214.47M | 0.5% | |
FXY | -14.59% | $528.73M | 0.4% | |
XONE | -14.50% | $621.86M | 0.03% | |
UUP | -13.07% | $332.64M | 0.77% | |
XHLF | -10.85% | $1.06B | 0.03% | |
CTA | -9.29% | $927.03M | 0.76% | |
SPTS | -8.72% | $5.96B | 0.03% | |
KMLM | -6.80% | $227.79M | 0.9% | |
IVOL | -6.02% | $459.41M | 1.02% | |
IBTG | -5.14% | $1.81B | 0.07% | |
BIL | -4.97% | $42.20B | 0.1356% | |
BUXX | -4.76% | $229.45M | 0.25% | |
UTWO | -4.53% | $373.68M | 0.15% | |
IBTF | -4.45% | $2.24B | 0.07% | |
SCHO | -4.14% | $10.55B | 0.03% | |
CARY | -3.90% | $347.36M | 0.8% |
Name | Correlation | AUM | Expense Ratio | |
---|---|---|---|---|
GOVZ | -0.12% | $296.09M | 0.1% | |
IBTI | -0.21% | $973.99M | 0.07% | |
CGSM | 0.50% | $627.01M | 0.25% | |
ZROZ | 0.57% | $1.59B | 0.15% | |
IBTH | 0.60% | $1.50B | 0.07% | |
TBIL | -0.61% | $5.28B | 0.15% | |
SHYD | 0.84% | $319.79M | 0.35% | |
XBIL | -0.89% | $706.56M | 0.15% | |
GOVT | 1.03% | $27.34B | 0.05% | |
SHM | 1.04% | $3.46B | 0.2% | |
IEI | 1.04% | $15.59B | 0.15% | |
BSMW | -1.04% | $101.79M | 0.18% | |
MMIN | 1.17% | $478.34M | 0.3% | |
BSMR | 1.23% | $228.80M | 0.18% | |
IBTM | 1.37% | $296.99M | 0.07% | |
EDV | 1.38% | $3.96B | 0.05% | |
FLGV | 1.47% | $959.96M | 0.09% | |
IBTL | 1.48% | $346.80M | 0.07% | |
SPTI | 1.49% | $7.68B | 0.03% | |
TFLO | -1.51% | $6.79B | 0.15% |
Current Value
$136.381 Year Return
Current Value
$136.381 Year Return
Name | Correlation | Market Cap | Return % (1 Year) | Div Yield % |
---|---|---|---|---|
HRL | -0.11% | $16.32B | -13.37% | 3.83% |
DOGZ | 0.16% | $399.11M | +366.52% | 0.00% |
CYCN | 0.26% | $7.34M | -15.31% | 0.00% |
CI | -0.33% | $87.96B | -9.14% | 1.78% |
HAIN | 0.49% | $337.52M | -54.89% | 0.00% |
FATBB | -0.56% | $53.73M | -26.29% | 13.59% |
AWK | -0.60% | $27.65B | +19.96% | 2.15% |
MKC | 0.69% | $21.64B | +16.15% | 2.13% |
DG | 0.70% | $17.96B | -47.06% | 2.91% |
MDLZ | 0.84% | $82.72B | -11.44% | 2.80% |
WEC | -0.87% | $34.05B | +34.70% | 3.15% |
IMNN | -0.88% | $13.95M | +14.91% | 0.00% |
BMY | -1.01% | $122.61B | +17.12% | 4.02% |
RLMD | 1.04% | $9.13M | -93.51% | 0.00% |
SRRK | -1.17% | $3.18B | +95.58% | 0.00% |
MRK | -1.17% | $239.29B | -23.37% | 3.34% |
SJM | 1.24% | $11.64B | -11.77% | 3.94% |
RPRX | 1.40% | $14.52B | +10.09% | 2.56% |
BACK | 1.40% | $1.41M | -67.43% | 0.00% |
BCE | -1.41% | $21.22B | -32.63% | 12.41% |
Name | Correlation | Market Cap | Return % (1 Year) | Div Yield % |
---|---|---|---|---|
BN | 73.32% | $88.51B | +26.98% | 0.62% |
ITT | 71.95% | $11.00B | +0.54% | 0.98% |
BNT | 71.24% | $6.90B | +25.73% | 0.00% |
MKSI | 70.96% | $6.10B | -28.96% | 0.99% |
AEIS | 70.95% | $3.99B | +8.06% | 0.38% |
SNPS | 70.94% | $69.58B | -25.25% | 0.00% |
MSFT | 70.23% | $2.88T | -9.91% | 0.82% |
JHG | 70.01% | $5.92B | +16.38% | 4.20% |
AMZN | 69.64% | $2.07T | +9.43% | 0.00% |
ETN | 69.46% | $115.78B | -6.34% | 1.33% |
APH | 69.27% | $80.37B | +16.00% | 0.92% |
PH | 68.89% | $80.44B | +11.43% | 1.05% |
PLAB | 68.58% | $1.36B | -27.22% | 0.00% |
ENTG | 68.53% | $14.99B | -29.56% | 0.41% |
RMBS | 68.36% | $6.07B | -12.22% | 0.00% |
ANSS | 68.27% | $28.45B | -6.77% | 0.00% |
CG | 68.01% | $15.82B | -7.55% | 3.24% |
EVR | 67.72% | $7.99B | +4.73% | 1.59% |
ARES | 67.71% | $30.59B | +7.88% | 2.68% |
KLAC | 67.49% | $95.21B | +0.47% | 0.90% |
Name | Correlation | Market Cap | Return % (1 Year) | Div Yield % |
---|---|---|---|---|
CBOE | -32.91% | $22.97B | +19.12% | 1.11% |
K | -16.03% | $28.42B | +46.73% | 2.76% |
GIS | -14.68% | $32.14B | -15.20% | 4.10% |
ED | -13.36% | $38.30B | +22.37% | 3.09% |
JNJ | -12.10% | $392.49B | +4.67% | 3.05% |
CME | -11.58% | $96.05B | +23.35% | 3.94% |
HUSA | -9.38% | $16.94M | -20.59% | 0.00% |
AEP | -8.45% | $56.63B | +27.81% | 3.41% |
CPB | -8.42% | $11.32B | -12.18% | 3.93% |
MO | -7.92% | $98.21B | +29.23% | 6.90% |
CAG | -7.13% | $12.36B | -10.54% | 5.41% |
PEP | -6.46% | $201.82B | -14.67% | 3.69% |
NOC | -5.58% | $70.82B | +4.65% | 1.68% |
VZ | -5.43% | $184.17B | +7.92% | 6.13% |
CHD | -5.39% | $26.58B | +4.03% | 1.06% |
FDP | -5.28% | $1.43B | +18.82% | 3.52% |
TCTM | -5.04% | $3.22M | -84.87% | 0.00% |
SO | -4.57% | $98.68B | +28.71% | 3.21% |
HSY | -4.55% | $33.32B | -17.48% | 3.33% |
PRPO | -4.34% | $10.06M | +12.68% | 0.00% |
IYY - iShares Dow Jones U.S. ETF contains 1028 holdings. The top holdings include AAPL, MSFT, NVDA, AMZN, META
Name | Weight |
---|---|
![]() | 6.17% |
![]() | 5.47% |
![]() | 5.47% |
![]() | 3.47% |
2.41% | |
1.83% | |
![]() | 1.82% |
![]() | 1.73% |
![]() | 1.5% |
1.28% | |
1.25% | |
![]() | 1.25% |
1.11% | |
0.96% | |
0.88% | |
0.83% | |
![]() | 0.78% |
0.76% | |
0.75% | |
0.74% | |
![]() | 0.71% |
0.71% | |
0.67% | |
0.53% | |
0.52% | |
0.51% | |
0.51% | |
![]() | 0.46% |
0.46% | |
0.46% |
Sector | Weight |
---|---|
Information Technology | 29.39% |
Financials | 14.69% |
Health Care | 10.95% |
Consumer Discretionary | 10.16% |
Industrials | 9.31% |
Communication Services | 8.90% |
Consumer Staples | 5.56% |
Energy | 3.80% |
Real Estate | 2.48% |
Utilities | 2.44% |
Materials | 2.36% |