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Q1 2025 was relatively strong, but Aprilâs second half was weak. The estimate for 2026 will be more difficult than prior years. Read more here...
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With such a historic domestic and international geopolitical backdrop, here we take a look at how the stock market not only moved higher but also impressively sits at all-time highs.
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June Labor Market Report Is Likely To Disappoint
SeekingAlpha
The S&P 500 jumped 3.4% (up 5.0% y-t-d), and the Dow rose 3.8% (up 3.0%). The Utilities increased 1.1% (up 7.4%).
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If, at the beginning of the year, anyone had predicted what actually happened in the first half of 2025, they would have been ridiculed and dismissed as delusional.
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Cracks In The Labor Market Form Beneath The Headlines
Name | Correlation | AUM | Expense Ratio | |
---|---|---|---|---|
LMBS | -0.34% | $5.11B | 0.64% | |
NUBD | 0.39% | $396.18M | 0.16% | |
CGCB | 0.42% | $2.47B | 0.27% | |
TLH | 0.42% | $11.46B | 0.15% | |
IBMS | -0.53% | $88.11M | 0.18% | |
BNDW | 0.88% | $1.28B | 0.05% | |
SGOV | -0.89% | $49.84B | 0.09% | |
SUB | 0.92% | $9.91B | 0.07% | |
YEAR | -1.05% | $1.45B | 0.25% | |
MLN | -1.08% | $539.58M | 0.24% | |
FMB | 1.15% | $1.90B | 0.65% | |
NYF | 1.21% | $890.51M | 0.25% | |
FIXD | 1.22% | $3.42B | 0.65% | |
CTA | -1.26% | $1.06B | 0.76% | |
IBND | -1.33% | $378.69M | 0.5% | |
WEAT | -1.37% | $117.15M | 0.28% | |
SCHQ | 1.48% | $756.36M | 0.03% | |
VGLT | 1.50% | $9.82B | 0.04% | |
ITM | 1.51% | $1.86B | 0.18% | |
SHM | -1.74% | $3.41B | 0.2% |
Name | Correlation | AUM | Expense Ratio | |
---|---|---|---|---|
IWB | 99.84% | $41.13B | 0.15% | |
BBUS | 99.84% | $4.96B | 0.02% | |
SCHX | 99.83% | $55.36B | 0.03% | |
DFUS | 99.82% | $15.39B | 0.09% | |
ITOT | 99.82% | $69.55B | 0.03% | |
SCHK | 99.81% | $4.27B | 0.03% | |
SPTM | 99.80% | $10.42B | 0.03% | |
ILCB | 99.79% | $1.03B | 0.03% | |
SCHB | 99.79% | $33.95B | 0.03% | |
SPLG | 99.78% | $71.34B | 0.02% | |
PBUS | 99.78% | $7.48B | 0.04% | |
VOO | 99.78% | $677.90B | 0.03% | |
GSUS | 99.76% | $2.56B | 0.07% | |
IWV | 99.75% | $15.52B | 0.2% | |
IVV | 99.75% | $610.31B | 0.03% | |
ESGU | 99.74% | $13.63B | 0.15% | |
VTI | 99.74% | $494.80B | 0.03% | |
VONE | 99.73% | $6.27B | 0.07% | |
DFAU | 99.72% | $8.34B | 0.12% | |
LCTU | 99.69% | $1.27B | 0.14% |
Name | Correlation | Market Cap | Return % (1 Year) | Div Yield % |
---|---|---|---|---|
JNJ | -0.10% | $366.71B | +4.28% | 3.30% |
AGL | 0.14% | $956.23M | -64.68% | 0.00% |
VRCA | 0.23% | $48.34M | -92.83% | 0.00% |
SO | 0.33% | $99.90B | +17.18% | 3.20% |
STG | -0.35% | $29.06M | -28.79% | 0.00% |
LITB | 0.66% | $21.70M | -78.27% | 0.00% |
MSEX | 0.69% | $976.83M | +4.31% | 2.48% |
VSTA | -0.85% | $342.46M | +40.00% | 0.00% |
HUSA | -0.99% | $22.94M | -6.82% | 0.00% |
PPC | 1.00% | $10.57B | +30.66% | 0.00% |
TEF | 1.02% | $29.29B | +23.28% | 6.30% |
DFDV | -1.17% | $247.94M | +1,821.34% | 0.00% |
EXC | -1.18% | $43.32B | +23.98% | 3.65% |
NEOG | 1.26% | $1.03B | -69.74% | 0.00% |
AEP | -1.42% | $54.73B | +16.78% | 3.58% |
LTM | -1.62% | $12.12B | -95.54% | 2.48% |
WTRG | -1.72% | $10.35B | -1.10% | 3.50% |
DUK | -2.23% | $90.88B | +16.65% | 3.59% |
CYCN | 2.25% | $9.63M | +30.43% | 0.00% |
UUU | -2.35% | $6.64M | +78.38% | 0.00% |
Name | Correlation | Market Cap | Return % (1 Year) | Div Yield % |
---|---|---|---|---|
CBOE | -21.58% | $23.98B | +34.66% | 1.10% |
ED | -15.04% | $35.36B | +9.76% | 3.39% |
AWK | -12.97% | $26.90B | +6.78% | 2.27% |
K | -10.84% | $27.41B | +36.96% | 2.88% |
MKTX | -8.31% | $8.23B | +9.48% | 1.37% |
CME | -7.40% | $99.01B | +39.76% | 3.87% |
DG | -6.12% | $25.19B | -13.45% | 2.07% |
BCE | -5.89% | $20.10B | -32.65% | 11.25% |
ASPS | -5.34% | $95.51M | -23.85% | 0.00% |
KR | -5.01% | $47.56B | +43.04% | 1.79% |
TU | -4.00% | $24.14B | +4.56% | 7.30% |
AMT | -3.82% | $101.95B | +12.04% | 3.05% |
VSA | -3.34% | $8.67M | -15.70% | 0.00% |
ZCMD | -2.59% | $28.79M | -13.64% | 0.00% |
MO | -2.47% | $98.96B | +28.98% | 6.98% |
UUU | -2.35% | $6.64M | +78.38% | 0.00% |
DUK | -2.23% | $90.88B | +16.65% | 3.59% |
WTRG | -1.72% | $10.35B | -1.10% | 3.50% |
LTM | -1.62% | $12.12B | -95.54% | 2.48% |
AEP | -1.42% | $54.73B | +16.78% | 3.58% |
Name | Correlation | Market Cap | Return % (1 Year) | Div Yield % |
---|---|---|---|---|
BN | 85.23% | $101.52B | +48.29% | 0.55% |
BNT | 84.33% | $12.40B | +48.28% | 0.00% |
ITT | 83.89% | $12.43B | +22.27% | 0.85% |
JHG | 83.46% | $6.10B | +14.92% | 4.02% |
AXP | 83.25% | $222.22B | +36.99% | 0.92% |
PH | 83.21% | $89.51B | +38.50% | 0.95% |
TROW | 82.14% | $21.17B | -16.66% | 5.21% |
KKR | 82.13% | $119.60B | +27.60% | 0.52% |
MKSI | 81.24% | $6.72B | -23.26% | 0.88% |
EMR | 81.13% | $74.91B | +20.89% | 1.59% |
BX | 81.00% | $183.33B | +22.06% | 2.29% |
GS | 80.80% | $211.97B | +52.73% | 1.69% |
ARES | 80.69% | $37.83B | +29.94% | 2.35% |
APO | 80.62% | $81.68B | +21.05% | 1.31% |
ADI | 80.51% | $117.59B | +3.81% | 1.61% |
EVR | 80.51% | $10.40B | +29.02% | 1.19% |
WAB | 80.46% | $35.54B | +31.41% | 0.43% |
DOV | 80.30% | $25.13B | +1.58% | 1.12% |
SEIC | 80.29% | $11.15B | +38.44% | 1.09% |
AMZN | 80.23% | $2.37T | +15.55% | 0.00% |
Name | Correlation | AUM | Expense Ratio | |
---|---|---|---|---|
TAIL | -87.94% | $99.76M | 0.59% | |
VIXY | -80.89% | $165.69M | 0.85% | |
BTAL | -67.31% | $296.79M | 1.43% | |
IVOL | -45.09% | $351.30M | 1.02% | |
SPTS | -35.01% | $5.78B | 0.03% | |
XONE | -33.68% | $585.86M | 0.03% | |
FXY | -33.33% | $815.67M | 0.4% | |
FTSD | -33.03% | $231.79M | 0.25% | |
UTWO | -29.96% | $379.36M | 0.15% | |
SCHO | -29.30% | $11.46B | 0.03% | |
VGSH | -28.38% | $22.80B | 0.03% | |
IBTI | -24.12% | $1.06B | 0.07% | |
IBTG | -23.65% | $1.92B | 0.07% | |
IBTH | -23.31% | $1.60B | 0.07% | |
XHLF | -22.59% | $1.73B | 0.03% | |
IBTJ | -21.18% | $685.71M | 0.07% | |
BILS | -21.02% | $3.86B | 0.1356% | |
SHYM | -19.66% | $349.95M | 0.35% | |
IEI | -19.54% | $15.37B | 0.15% | |
IBTK | -18.16% | $442.63M | 0.07% |
IYY - iShares Dow Jones U.S. ETF contains 1026 holdings. The top holdings include NVDA, MSFT, AAPL, AMZN, META
Name | Weight |
---|---|
![]() | 6.73% |
![]() | 6.45% |
![]() | 5.25% |
![]() | 3.69% |
2.79% | |
![]() | 2.22% |
![]() | 1.82% |
![]() | 1.59% |
1.56% | |
![]() | 1.46% |
1.40% | |
1.07% | |
1.04% | |
![]() | 0.99% |
0.82% | |
0.78% | |
0.76% | |
0.74% | |
0.66% | |
0.64% | |
0.64% | |
![]() | 0.60% |
![]() | 0.56% |
0.54% | |
0.49% | |
0.49% | |
0.49% | |
0.48% | |
0.48% | |
0.47% |
Sector | Weight |
---|---|
Information Technology | 31.83% |
Financials | 14.22% |
Consumer Discretionary | 10.55% |
Communication Services | 9.38% |
Industrials | 9.38% |
Health Care | 9.25% |
Consumer Staples | 5.26% |
Energy | 3.29% |
Utilities | 2.37% |
Real Estate | 2.23% |
Materials | 2.14% |
- | 0.05% |
N/A | 0.01% |