Yahoo

Investors consider how President-elect Donald Trump's actual policies will compare to his campaign rhetoric on tariffs and tax cuts. Innovator ETFs chief investment strategist Tim Urbanowicz joins Brian Sozzi and Julie Hyman on Morning Brief to discuss the biggest risk to markets in 2025. "What gives us a little bit of pause is just the extreme sentiment that we're seeing, really, post the election. And the biggest risk that we see next year is that a lot of the stuff that investors have priced in, mainly around the policy side of things, do not play out," Urbanowicz says. He notes, "That doesn't mean that you can't see the equities continue to tick higher. We actually think that they will because sentiment will continue to improve and go higher. But we need to be wary and conscious of those risks, [as] there's a lot of good news priced right now, and any disappointment, whether it be policy, economic inflation, [or the] Fed, really has the potential to put some downside risks ahead in 2025." During this uncertainty, "covering a wide range of outcomes is really important," the strategist says, noting that ETFs like Innovator Equity Managed Floor ETF (SFLR) and Innovator Nasdaq-100 Managed Floor ETF (QFLR) are attractive to investors given they offer "downside protection and upside participation really hold a lot of value for investors right now." To watch more expert insights and analysis on the latest market action, check out more Morning Brief here. This post was written by Naomi Buchanan.

SeekingAlpha

When Trump Says 'Buy,' You Buy

SeekingAlpha

The author expects the market to gyrate in the 5,000-6,000 range with a 5,500 inflection for the S&P 500 Index during the second quarter until there is greater policy clarity on tariffs.

SeekingAlpha

In the last 5 years, the borrowing has not been less than $1.8T. Expect more of the same this year once the ceiling is raised. Click to read.

SeekingAlpha

Our weekly simulation for U.S. Treasury bills. Read the latest update in the article series, as of May 9, 2025.

SeekingAlpha

The narrative has shifted for US Treasuries - pressure for higher yields to persist. The bearish sentiment in euro rates can also continue for now. Click to read.

SeekingAlpha

Fed held interest rates steady with a benchmark rate of 4.25-4.50%. While it’s broadly accepted that tariffs will push prices higher, the depth and duration of inflation remains uncertain.